News & CommentEarthquake Prediction

Report Slams Japanese Program

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Science  28 Mar 1997:
Vol. 275, Issue 5308, pp. 1870
DOI: 10.1126/science.275.5308.1870a

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TOKYO—Japan's rock-solid faith in predicting earthquakes is about to get a shock from a draft report that says the research program has failed to warn the population about impending earthquakes and has overstated its ability to develop accurate forecasts. The program has been on the defensive since the deadly Kobe earthquake in 1995.