News & CommentEarthquake Prediction

Japan Urged to Drop Short-Term Goal

Science  15 May 1998:
Vol. 280, Issue 5366, pp. 1000
DOI: 10.1126/science.280.5366.1000

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TOKYO-- Last week, an ad hoc group of Japanese scientists urged the government to abandon its attempt to achieve short-term prediction of earthquakes and instead focus its $145 million a year in earthquake-related research spending on the search for underlying causes, which could help identify earthquake-prone areas years in advance. But it appears that the 35-year-old short-term prediction program is headed for another 5-year extension regardless.