An Improbable Statistician

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Science  19 Nov 1999:
Vol. 286, Issue 5444, pp. 1463
DOI: 10.1126/science.286.5444.1463

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In 1969, statisticians around the world sent funds to restore the deteriorating London tomb of Thomas Bayes, "in recognition of [his] important work in probability." But beyond his theorem, which opens a place for preconceptions and prior knowledge in statistical analysis, historians know very little about this Presbyterian minister and how he became interested in his "problem in the doctrine of chances."