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Change in the Probability for Earthquakes in Southern California Due to the Landers Magnitude 7.3 Earthquake

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Science  17 Nov 2000:
Vol. 290, Issue 5495, pp. 1334-1338
DOI: 10.1126/science.290.5495.1334

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Abstract

The Landers earthquake in June 1992 redistributed stress in southern California, shutting off the production of small earthquakes in some regions while increasing the seismicity in neighboring regions, up to the present. This earthquake also changed the ratio of small to large events in favor of more small earthquakes within about 100 kilometers of the epicenter. This implies that the probabilistic estimate for future earthquakes in southern California changed because of the Landers earthquake. The location of the strongest increase in probability for large earthquakes in southern California was the volume that subsequently produced the largest slip in the magnitude 7.1 Hector Mine earthquake of October 1999.

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