Policy ForumMedicine

Communicating Statistical Information

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Science  22 Dec 2000:
Vol. 290, Issue 5500, pp. 2261-2262
DOI: 10.1126/science.290.5500.2261

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Summary

Most people, experts included, have difficulties understanding and combining statistical information effectively. Hoffrage et al. demonstrate that these difficulties can be considerably reduced by communicating the information in terms of natural frequencies rather than in terms of probabilities. Several applications in medicine, legal decision-making, and education are discussed.

  • This Policy Forum was collaboratively written to combine work submitted to Science independently by the first and second authors.