Casting Light on the Shadow of Doubt

Science  19 Oct 2001:
Vol. 294, Issue 5542, pp. 528
DOI: 10.1126/science.1066252

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The Science of Conjecture Evidence and Probability before Pascal. James Franklin. Johns Hopkins University Press, Baltimore, 2001. 511 pp. $55, £36.95. ISBN 0-8018-6569-7.

Franklin offers a comprehensive survey of the literature of rational methods of dealing with uncertainty from ancient Egypt to Pascal and Fermat's development of the mathematics of probability in the mid-17th century.