News FocusMETEOROLOGY

One Sandy Forecast a Bigger Winner Than Others

Science  09 Nov 2012:
Vol. 338, Issue 6108, pp. 736-737
DOI: 10.1126/science.338.6108.736

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Summary

Dramatic improvements in computing power and weather observations have steadily improved hurricane forecasts, saving countless lives. In fact, official forecasts from the U.S. National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Miami, Florida, for Hurricane Sandy were even better than usual. But among the computer forecast models that NHC forecasters consulted, the global model from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts stood out, as it tends to do. The European edge in forecasting Sandy illustrates once again the advantages of having the greatest computing power available and a laserlike focus on a single sort of forecasting.