When intuition overrides reason

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Science  15 Dec 2017:
Vol. 358, Issue 6369, pp. 1398-1399
DOI: 10.1126/science.358.6369.1398-f

Given two paths to winning, our choice under time pressure often differs from what we would opt for after deliberation, especially if the decision requires a numerical calculation of probabilities. Walco and Risen show that a third to a half of us will elect to rely on gut feelings even after having demonstrated an accurate understanding of which choice is more likely to pay off. This pattern of behavior applies across situations ranging from picking a specific color of marble to blackjack to fourth-down options in American football.

Psychol. Sci. 10.1177/0956797617723377 (2017).

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