Report

Asylum applications respond to temperature fluctuations

See allHide authors and affiliations

Science  22 Dec 2017:
Vol. 358, Issue 6370, pp. 1610-1614
DOI: 10.1126/science.aao0432

eLetters is an online forum for ongoing peer review. Submission of eLetters are open to all. eLetters are not edited, proofread, or indexed.  Please read our Terms of Service before submitting your own eLetter.

Compose eLetter

Plain text

  • Plain text
    No HTML tags allowed.
  • Web page addresses and e-mail addresses turn into links automatically.
  • Lines and paragraphs break automatically.
Author Information
First or given name, e.g. 'Peter'.
Your last, or family, name, e.g. 'MacMoody'.
Your email address, e.g. higgs-boson@gmail.com
Your role and/or occupation, e.g. 'Orthopedic Surgeon'.
Your organization or institution (if applicable), e.g. 'Royal Free Hospital'.
Statement of Competing Interests
CAPTCHA

This question is for testing whether or not you are a human visitor and to prevent automated spam submissions.

Image CAPTCHA
Enter the characters shown in the image.

Vertical Tabs

  • RE: Why not show the actual history curves you are projecting?

    Thanks for a wonderfully thorough analysis. I think it needs to be compared to the actual history curves of temperature and migration. It would expose more of the 'wild card' factors for one thing. I have years of experience with regularizing time-series data to expose nature's true story arcs, by suppressing the 3rd derivatives to eliminate jittery local noise (suppressing the "jerk"). It's a bit like redefining a spline at every point. It's really worth it, often exposing organizational changes in the underlying natural systems being observed. I'd be glad to discuss my pattern recognition methods, published in IJPRAI. A PPT for a recent talk is: http://www.synapse9.com/_vis/3DR%20ExposeSys.pptx, email on the 1st slide, research links on other slides.

    Competing Interests: None declared.