Cognitive Psychology

Developing a judgment of confidence

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Science  01 Aug 2014:
Vol. 345, Issue 6196, pp. 527
DOI: 10.1126/science.345.6196.527-b

When you place a bet, you need to estimate your chance of winning, and you also need to know the accuracy of your estimate. That is, when the odds appear to be in your favor, but you're not entirely sure, you'll make a smaller wager than when you're rock-solid certain. Adults who are good judges of their own accuracy tend to be better at problem-solving, regulating their emotions, and thinking critically, among other skills. Vo et al. wondered whether this also holds true for children. The authors found that 5- to 8-year-old children are pretty good at making judgments about their accuracy when it comes to estimating quantities, but they don't evaluate themselves as well when comparing facial emotions.

Psychol. Sci. 25, 10.1177/0956797614538458 (2014).

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