Research Article
Age groups that sustain resurging COVID-19 epidemics in the United States
- View ORCID ProfileMélodie Monod1,*,
- View ORCID ProfileAlexandra Blenkinsop1,*,
- Xiaoyue Xi1,*,
- Daniel Hebert2,*,
- Sivan Bershan3,*,
- Simon Tietze3,*,
- View ORCID ProfileMarc Baguelin4,
- Valerie C. Bradley6,
- View ORCID ProfileYu Chen1,
- View ORCID ProfileHelen Coupland4,
- View ORCID ProfileSarah Filippi1,
- View ORCID ProfileJonathan Ish-Horowicz1,
- Martin McManus1,
- View ORCID ProfileThomas Mellan4,
- View ORCID ProfileAxel Gandy1,
- View ORCID ProfileMichael Hutchinson6,
- View ORCID ProfileH. Juliette T Unwin4,
- View ORCID ProfileSabine L. van Elsland4,
- View ORCID ProfileMichaela A. C. Vollmer4,
- Sebastian Weber5,
- Harrison Zhu1,
- Anne Bezancon3,
- View ORCID ProfileNeil M. Ferguson4,
- View ORCID ProfileSwapnil Mishra4,
- View ORCID ProfileSeth Flaxman1,†,
- View ORCID ProfileSamir Bhatt4,7,†,
- View ORCID ProfileOliver Ratmann1,*,†,
- on behalf of the Imperial College COVID-19 Response Team
- 1Department of Mathematics, Imperial College London, London, UK.
- 2Foursquare Inc, New York, NY, USA.
- 3Emodo, San Francisco, CA, USA.
- 4MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis; and the Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, UK.
- 5Novartis Pharma AG, Basel, Switzerland.
- 6Department of Statistics, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
- 7Section of Epidemiology, Department of Public Health, University of Copenhagen, Denmark.
- ↵†Corresponding author: oliver.ratmann{at}imperial.ac.uk (O.R.); s.bhatt{at}imperial.ac.uk (S.B.); s.flaxman{at}imperial.ac.uk (S.F.)
↵* These authors contributed equally to this work.
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Science 02 Feb 2021:
eabe8372
DOI: 10.1126/science.abe8372
eabe8372
DOI: 10.1126/science.abe8372
Mélodie Monod
1Department of Mathematics, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Alexandra Blenkinsop
1Department of Mathematics, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Xiaoyue Xi
1Department of Mathematics, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Daniel Hebert
2Foursquare Inc, New York, NY, USA.
Sivan Bershan
3Emodo, San Francisco, CA, USA.
Simon Tietze
3Emodo, San Francisco, CA, USA.
Marc Baguelin
4MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis; and the Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Valerie C. Bradley
6Department of Statistics, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Yu Chen
1Department of Mathematics, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Helen Coupland
4MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis; and the Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Sarah Filippi
1Department of Mathematics, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Jonathan Ish-Horowicz
1Department of Mathematics, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Martin McManus
1Department of Mathematics, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Thomas Mellan
4MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis; and the Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Axel Gandy
1Department of Mathematics, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Michael Hutchinson
6Department of Statistics, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
H. Juliette T Unwin
4MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis; and the Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Sabine L. van Elsland
4MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis; and the Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Michaela A. C. Vollmer
4MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis; and the Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Sebastian Weber
5Novartis Pharma AG, Basel, Switzerland.
Harrison Zhu
1Department of Mathematics, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Anne Bezancon
3Emodo, San Francisco, CA, USA.
Neil M. Ferguson
4MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis; and the Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Swapnil Mishra
4MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis; and the Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Seth Flaxman
1Department of Mathematics, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Samir Bhatt
4MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis; and the Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, UK.
7Section of Epidemiology, Department of Public Health, University of Copenhagen, Denmark.
Oliver Ratmann
1Department of Mathematics, Imperial College London, London, UK.
