RT Journal Article
SR Electronic
T1 Sensitivity of Glaciers and Small Ice Caps to Greenhouse Warming
JF Science
JO Science
FD American Association for the Advancement of Science
SP 115
OP 117
DO 10.1126/science.258.5079.115
VO 258
IS 5079
A1 Oerlemans, J.
A1 Fortuin, J. P. F.
YR 1992
UL http://science.sciencemag.org/content/258/5079/115.abstract
AB Recent field programs on glaciers have supplied information that makes simulation of glacier mass balance with meteorological models meaningful. An estimate of world-wide glacier sensitivity based on a modeling study of 12 selected glaciers situated in widely differing climatic regimes shows that for a uniform 1 K warming the area-weighted glacier mass balance will decrease by 0.40 meter per year. This corresponds to a sea-level rise of 0.58 millimeter per year, a value significantly less than earlier estimates.