Table 1 Best-fit model posterior estimates of key epidemiological parameters for simulation with the full metapopulation model during 10–23 January 2020.

Seedmax = 2000, Td = 9 days.

ParameterMedian (95% CIs)
Transmission rate (β, days−1)1.12 (1.06, 1.19)
Relative transmission rate (μ)0.55 (0.46, 0.62)
Latency period (Z, days)3.69 (3.30, 3.96)
Infectious period (D, days)3.47 (3.15, 3.73)
Reporting rate (α)0.14 (0.10, 0.18)
Basic reproductive number (Re)2.38 (2.03, 2.77)
Mobility factor (θ)1.36 (1.27, 1.45)